MacroPolicy9 July 2026
The Bank of Japan has raised its policy rate five times since 2024, yet the yen just hit a forty year low. Here is what two years of tightening have actually changed, and what is likely to happen next.
Bank of JapanInterest RatesYenJapan
Rohan Talwar13 min read
Read ArticleMacro21 April 2026
The Iran war handed the Bank of Japan a policy trap it cannot easily escape. Holding rates to avoid a growth shock is letting the yen slide toward levels that historically trigger intervention. Hiking to defend the currency risks making the growth shock worse.
Japanese YenBank of JapanFXIranMonetary PolicyStagflation
Raghu Kohli8 min read
Read ArticleMarketsMacro27 March 2026
Six central bank holds in 48 hours, Brent crude approaching $96, and a US-Iran military conflict have shattered the consensus rate narrative of early 2026, resetting the dollar, the yen, and the entire FX outlook.
FXFederal ReserveBank of EnglandBank of JapanOilGeopoliticsUS Dollar
Raghu Kohli6 min read
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