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June 2026

May 2026

April 2026

  1. Macro

    The War America Can't Afford

    The war in Iran is testing the informal bargain that has let America borrow cheaply for half a century. The allies whose cooperation sustains that privilege had no say in the conflict, yet they are bearing its economic cost.

March 2026

  1. Markets

    The Week That Reset the Rate Narrative

    Six central bank holds in 48 hours, Brent crude approaching $96, and a US-Iran military conflict have shattered the consensus rate narrative of early 2026, resetting the dollar, the yen, and the entire FX outlook.