MarketsMacro10 August 2026
Paper-market distortion; central bank hoarding; mercurial retail frenzies; and shifting macroeconomic tides. The modern gold market is driven by a tangle of contradictory forces meaning that making sense of this historic safe haven requires looking past the spot price to unravel the forces actually moving the metal.
GoldMarketsCommodities
Martim Domingos7 min read
Read ArticleMacro8 August 2026
Drought on the Danube has forced nuclear plants in Hungary and Romania to cut output. Chernobyl and Fukushima show why the economic damage from a disaster travels far beyond the site, through budgets, supply chains and expectations, and why it lasts.
EnergyNuclear PowerClimateDisaster Economics
Ahana Bhattacharya13 min read
Read ArticleMacro3 August 2026
For decades China was constrained by what it could produce. It is now constrained by what its households will buy, and the surplus it exports instead is reshaping trade policy across the world.
ChinaGlobal TradeIndustrial PolicyConsumptionProtectionism
Ahana Bhattacharya7 min read
Read ArticleMacro31 July 2026
Three of nine voted to raise Bank Rate. The Bank's own Report then said the market curve is steeper than policy needs to be, and that most of its slope is not a rate expectation.
Bank of EnglandMonetary PolicyInterest RatesInflationGiltsUK Economy
Rohan Talwar14 min read
Read ArticleMacro27 July 2026
Repeated heatwaves are no longer a seasonal inconvenience for Europe's economies. From lost labour productivity to rising food prices and multi-billion-euro damage bills, extreme heat is emerging as a structural drag on growth across the continent.
Climate RiskEuropean EconomyLabour ProductivityInflation
Sonal Weerasekera8 min read
Read ArticleMacro27 July 2026
Algorithmic feeds have quietly become a dominant force in setting asset prices and mobilising political movements, from GameStop to India's Cockroach Janata Party, while regulators still lack the tools to measure how virality converts into capital and power.
Attention EconomyFinancial MarketsMeme StocksAlgorithms
Ahana Bhattacharya8 min read
Read ArticleMacro23 July 2026
AI capital expenditure has emerged as the last major engine of global demand, propping up growth even as trade wars fragment the world economy. Whether that engine can keep pace with its scale and financing is the open question.
Artificial IntelligenceGlobal TradeCapital ExpenditureHyperscalersGrowth
Daya Kaur Kalher6 min read
Read ArticleMacro20 July 2026
Machine learning can spot economic shifts weeks before official statistics catch up, but its black-box reasoning means the most reliable forecasts still come from economists working alongside AI, not being replaced by it.
Artificial IntelligenceMachine LearningEconomic ForecastingHysteresis
Meghana Sivapuram5 min read
Read ArticleMacroMarkets20 July 2026
New Fed chair Kevin Warsh was expected to bring a dovish, rate-cutting sensibility to the central bank. Instead, his first meeting delivered the most hawkish surprise markets have seen in years, with traders now pricing in the Fed's first hike since 2023.
Federal ReserveInflationMonetary PolicyKevin WarshInterest Rates
Sonal Weerasekera7 min read
Read ArticleMacro17 July 2026
Argentina's disinflation looks like a policy triumph on paper, but the currency framework enabling it may be quietly rebuilding the fragility it was designed to end.
ArgentinaInflation
Daya Kaur Kalher5 min read
Read ArticleMacro15 July 2026
China's factories are shipping more than they have in years, driven by an AI-fuelled tech boom. Yet second-quarter growth still slowed to 4.3%, its weakest in decades outside the pandemic, a reminder that strong exports don't always mean a strong economy.
ChinaTradeExportsGDPGrowth
Raghu Kohli6 min read
Read ArticleMacro10 July 2026
The Iran war sent oil prices soaring and hit every major economy at once, yet the Fed, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank all responded differently. The divergence turned not on the shock itself but on each bank's headroom, growth outlook, and framework for interpreting supply-driven inflation.
InflationFederal ReserveBank of EnglandEuropean Central Bank
Kaveesha Maddala4 min read
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